Dubai PR Network, Online Press Release from Dubai and Middle East
Banking & Insurance(Banking & Investments)
Filter PR by
2018 the Year of Change: Saxo Bank Chief Economist Predicts Economic Impacts of Key Market Trends

From China’s lead on electrification to a possible US recession and the irony of cryptocurrencies, Steen Jakobsen, Chief Economist, CIO & Co-head of Global Sales Trading at Saxo Bank Group previews what’s in store for global financial markets and Middle East growth next year 

Dubai-UAE: 05 December, 2017 – Steen Jakobsen, Chief Economist, CIO & Co-head of Global Sales Trading at Saxo Bank, the leading online multi-asset trading and investment specialist, delivered an economic forecast of how top trending issues, including China, electrification, cryptocurrencies, recession and politics will shape financial markets in 2018, during a Saxo Bank event in Dubai.

Jakobsen outlined China’s growing influence and position on the global stage and how it will impact market prices and commodities against the US dollar. “With China controlling 50% of growth and credit in the world, it remains the most important country in terms of its credit impulse and trending behaviours,” said Jakobsen.

Jakobsen predicts that China will be the main driver of one of the most significant innovations the world has witnessed – electrification - and, specifically, electric vehicles. With pollution standing out as China’s biggest national issue, electric transportation will form a vital part of the country’s ambitions for world leadership and the move towards electrification has gained in significance – courtesy of Volvo’s 2020 plans to electrify its entire model line-up, while leading Chinese car manufacturer BYD expects all cars to be fully electrified by 2030.

Jakobsen also pointed to the monopoly-like condition in the technology sector as something that could be on the radar in 2018. He added: “Leading tech giants such as Google, Amazon and Apple all operate under monopoly-like status and with little to no competition, which explains their massive profitability. These high profits are due to a lack of market regulation that allows big players to keep a monopoly pricing structure on their consumers leading to negative economic consequences on the future of productivity, investment, and research and development,” said Jakobsen.

Cryptocurrencies and bitcoin were also discussed, with Jakobsen predicting changes in 2018, adding: “Bitcoin is supposed to be a decentralised, anti-government and anti-establishment cryptocurrency but all the players are on the internet, which is the most regulated place in the world. Soon enough we will have an anti-government coin being regulated by governments. To some extent, this is a great irony.”

Jakobsen explains that the future market of bitcoin is difficult to predict as, while cryptocurrency is popular because it trades like a one-way street - when there are bigger futures exchanges, such as CME and CBOE listing bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, it will facilitate a two-way market where shorting will be easier.
Jakobsen also anticipates that 2018 will be the ‘make or break’ year for the US fixed income. “We are either going to hit a 0% or 3% interest rate – if we break the 30-year down trend, it will be one of the biggest trend changes in my lifetime and lead to 80% probability of a US recession next year, said Jakobsen.” However, he expects the trend to remain intact with a potential for zero interest rates by 2019.

In the Middle East, events such as last year’s fixed income issuance, the Saudi bond issuance, and capital markets being deeper in liquidity, all resulted in a positive year but Jakobsen forecasts a different regional pattern for 2018, adding that the geopolitical risk the region has seen this year will make foreign investors cautious and most of them have hit the pause button. This is going to have some negative impact on growth for the GCC, which Jakobsen expects to hit 1.0% for 2018. 

Looking further forward, Jakobsen believes SMEs will have a bigger role to play in GCC economies. He said: “In order to strengthen the economy, the SME sector needs to be a much larger part of GCC countries and their economies. The strongest economies in the world all have strong SME sectors and engaging SMEs is crucial for creating long-term growth through broadening the credit and productivity to a wider, more flexible private sector.

Posted by : Dubai PR Network Editorial Team
Viewed 7936 times
PR Category : Banking & Investments
Posted on : Tuesday, December 5, 2017  2:34:00 PM UAE local time (GMT+4)
Replication or redistribution in whole or in part is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of
Previous Story : Saxo Bank 2018 Outrageous Predictions: 2018 will be a true r...
Next Story : AL-Thiqa Islamic Bank Deploys ICS BANKS ISLAMIC System from ...
Email this article Print this article

Share this article with your friends and followers
Back to Section Home

Related Stories

Most Viewed Press Release posted in the last 7 days
Bhima Jewellers Wows Women on International Women's Day [14939-Views]
Foreo Declares 2018 the Year of Confidence [13591-Views]
Beauty Indulgences for Mums this Mother's Day [11438-Views]
Built for the Way We Communicate Today: Samsung Galaxy S9 and S9+ Launches in the UAE [10278-Views]
The Ultimate Mother's Day Beauty and Wellness Gifts [8589-Views]
The Sheet Mask Trend [7515-Views]
Design International to open doors at d3 [7046-Views]
Tissot PRS 516 Alpine Limited Edition A sporting tribute [6795-Views]
Rise and Shine with Sophie's [6783-Views]
Filorga Launches Lift Range [6771-Views]
International fragrance houses look to Middle East as inspiration for global perfume trend... [6771-Views]
SMCCU opens its doors for SIKKA Art Fair [6698-Views]
Max launches its Inaugural Abaya Collection [6100-Views]
“The Night of Italian Design” at D3 Attracts Design Enthusiasts [6021-Views]
LULU Organic Food Activation [5862-Views]
Al-Futtaim Honda launches 10th generation Honda Accord [5746-Views]
It's Mother's Day! [5704-Views]
Iconic milkshake brand Keventers to open 30 outlets across the UAE in 2018 [5685-Views]
Mother's Day Offer from Blush N Curls Salon [5527-Views]
An Open Secret - The new Flying Regulator Open Gear provides deep insights [5258-Views]
Luxury First: Range Rover Sv Coupé Debuts at Geneva Motor Show [5106-Views]
UAE Jiu-jitsu Federation® Conducted the Official Weigh-ins of Abu Dhabi Grand Slam® in Lon... [4959-Views]
Reading Champions Declared at 10th Emirates Airline Festival of Literature [4941-Views]
Preps for the Fazza Championships for Shooting Saktoun Riffle begin on March 11 [4886-Views]
Drink yourself to looking younger with Skinade [4880-Views]
RSS Facebook Twitter LinkedDin
Top Sections
Top Stories