Dubai PR Network, Online Press Release from Dubai and Middle East
 
Aviation, Airline & Aerospace(Travel & Tourism)
Filter PR by
  
Don't Make A Slow Recovery More Difficult with Quarantine Measures
 
Dubai, United Arab Emirates, May 14, 2020:  The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released new analysis showing that the damage to air travel from COVID-19 extends into the medium-term, with long-haul / international travel being the most severely impacted. Quarantine measures on arrival would further damage confidence in air travel. A risk-based layered approach of globally harmonized biosecurity measures is critical for the restart.
 
Read remarks of Alexandre de Juniac
View the COVID-19 Outlook for Air Travel in the Next 5 Years presentation 
 
Air travel scenarios
IATA and Tourism Economics modeled two air travel scenarios.
Baseline Scenario
• This is contingent on domestic markets opening in Q3, with a much slower phased opening of international markets. This would limit the air travel recovery, despite most forecasts pointing toward a strong economic rebound late this year and during 2021. 
• In 2021 we expect global passenger demand (measured in revenue passenger kilometers, RPKs) to be 24% below 2019 levels and 32% lower than IATA’s October 2019 Air Passenger forecast for 2021. 
• We don’t expect 2019 levels to be exceeded until 2023. 
• As international markets open and economies recover, there will be further growth in air travel from the 2020 low point. But even by 2025 we would expect global RPKs to be 10% lower than the previous forecast. 
 
Pessimistic Scenario
 
• This is based on a slower opening of economies and relaxation of travel restrictions, with lockdowns extending into Q3, possibly due to a second wave of the virus. This would further delay the recovery of air travel. 
• In this case, global RPKs in 2021 could be 34% lower than 2019 levels and 41% below our previous forecast for 2021.
 
“Major stimulus from governments combined with liquidity injections by central banks will boost the economic recovery once the pandemic is under control. But rebuilding passenger confidence will take longer. And even then, individual and corporate travelers are likely to carefully manage travel spend and stay closer to home,” said Alexandre de Juniac, IATA’s Director General and CEO.
Long-Haul Travel Impact will be Longer Lasting
When the recovery begins, it is expected to be led by domestic travel.
• An IATA survey of recent air travelers conducted in April 2020 found that 58% are somewhat or very likely to restrict their initial travel to domestic journeys. 
• Domestic Revenue Passenger Kilometers (RPKs) will only recover to 2019 levels by 2022. International RPKs are only expected to return to 2019 levels in 2024.
 
“The impacts of the crisis on long-haul travel will be much more severe and of a longer duration than what is expected in domestic markets. This makes globally agreed and implemented biosecurity standards for the travel process all the more critical. We have a small window to avoid the consequences of uncoordinated unilateral measures that marked the post-9.11 period. We must act fast,” said de Juniac.
 
Avoid Quarantine Measures
IATA strongly urges governments to find alternatives to maintaining or introducing arrival quarantine measures as part of post-pandemic travel restrictions. IATA’s April survey of recent air travelers showed that 
• 86% of travelers were somewhat or very concerned about being quarantined while traveling, and 
• 69% of recent travelers would not consider travelling if it involved a 14-day quarantine period.
 
“Even in the best of circumstances this crisis will cost many jobs and rob the economy of years of aviation-stimulated growth.  To protect aviation’s ability to be a catalyst for the economic recovery, we must not make that prognosis worse by making travel impracticable with quarantine measures. We need a solution for safe travel that addresses two challenges. It must give passengers confidence to travel safely and without undue hassle. And it must give governments confidence that they are protected from importing the virus. Our proposal is for a layering of temporary non-quarantine measures until we have a vaccine, immunity passports or nearly instant COVID-19 testing available at scale,” said de Juniac. 
IATA’s proposal for a temporary risk-based layered approach to provide governments with the confidence to open their border without quarantining arrivals includes:
 
• Preventing travel by those who are symptomatic with temperature screening and other measures
• Addressing the risks of asymptomatic travelers with governments managing a robust system of health declarations and vigorous contact tracing. 
 
The mutual recognition of agreed measures is critical for the resumption of international travel. This is a key deliverable of the COVID-19 Aviation Recovery Task Force (CART) of the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO). 
“CART has a very big job to do with little time to waste. It must find an agreement among states on the measures needed to control COVID-19 as aviation re-starts. And it must build confidence among governments that borders can be opened to travelers because a layered approach of measures has been properly implemented globally. IATA and the whole industry support this critical work,” said de Juniac.


Posted by : Dubai PR Network Editorial Team
Viewed 4416 times
PR Category : Travel & Tourism
Posted on : Thursday, May 14, 2020  9:26:00 AM UAE local time (GMT+4)
Replication or redistribution in whole or in part is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of DubaiPRNetwork.com.
Previous Story : COVID-19 Crisis Continues to Devastate Air Transport in the ...
Next Story : Emirates Resumes Passenger Flights to 9 Destinations, includ...
Email this article Print this article

Share this article with your friends and followers
NewsVine
Back to Section Home

Related Stories



 
 
Most Viewed Press Release posted in the last 7 days
Eid Gifts From The Body Shop [7052-Views]
Kristina Fidelskaya A/W 2020 Collection “Dream” [5449-Views]
Happy Eid with Parmigiani Fleurier Toric Fleur [4883-Views]
Sony Middle East & Africa Launches New Compact 4K Handycam® Camcorder with Advanced Image ... [4059-Views]
UAE Banks Among Top Performing in GCC, KPMG Report Finds [4010-Views]
Etihad Guest Rewards Members While Staying Home [3440-Views]
Made in Italy, ICSA® Issues a Notification of Counterfeit Products Found in the Kingdom of... [3346-Views]
Denim Culture [3120-Views]
First Range Rover Made Under Social Distancing Measures Comes Off Jaguar Land Rover's Sol... [2813-Views]
Ralph Lauren: How to master the art of tie-dye. #RLatHome [2743-Views]
Introducing the Marks & Spencer Summer Edit [2731-Views]
IATA Outlines Layered Approach for Industry Re-Start [2624-Views]
Karl Lagereld Drives Digital Innovation With Launch of the “Maison Karl Lagerfeld” Game [2620-Views]
Union Coop Launched ‘Drive Thru' Shopping Service [2595-Views]
Emirates Sets Industry-leading Safety Standard for Customers Travelling as It Resumes Oper... [2571-Views]
MHPS Captures Global Gas Turbine Market Share Leadership Again [2542-Views]
OMEGA Adds Full Gold Models to The Speedmaster 38 mm Collection [2452-Views]
SRTI Park Discusses Reality, Future of Research and Development in Arab Region [2394-Views]
UAE Develops a Rapid Coronavirus Laser Testing Technology [2374-Views]
Dubai Customs and Omani Counterpart Discuss Post-Covid19 Era [2370-Views]
HONOR MagicBook Series is Perfect for Fashion Forward, Design Conscious Individuals Across... [2345-Views]
Jaguar Land Rover Special Vehicle Operations Reports Fiscal 2019/20 Retail Sales Growth [2329-Views]
Keeping Mobile Networks Running Top Priority During COVID-19 Pandemic [2218-Views]
The Heart of Europe Takes Shape as the Ultimate Sustainable Island Tourism Destination in ... [2218-Views]
VFS Global Joins Nation's Biggest Community Campaign; Donates to the 10 Million Meals Init... [2112-Views]
 
RSS Facebook Twitter LinkedDin
 
Top Sections
 
Top Stories